Started Sep 20, 2016 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 24, 2017 06:00PM UTC

Before 2018, will there be a new president of Zimbabwe?

At 92 years of age, Robert Mugabe has ruled Zimbabwe since 1987 and has resisted naming a successor (Reuters). Despite the fact that the constitution provides for an orderly succession with the first Vice President taking office in the event of the president's death, the question of succession continues to dominate politics in Zimbabwe (Deutsche Welle, Newsweek, International Business Times). Recommended Questions When will Pierre Nkurunziza cease to be president of Burundi? Will Jacob Zuma cease to be president of South Africa before 1 January 2017? Emmerson Mnangagwa is the new president of Zimbabwe (NY Times). This question closed as “a) Emmerson Mnangagwa,” with an end date of 24 November 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, Emmerson Mnangagwa 73%
Yes, Phelekezela Mphoko 0%
Yes, Grace Mugabe 0%
Yes, someone else 0%
No 27%

No. of
Forecasters

238

Forecast
Count

1573

Crowd Brier Score

1.4782


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.299
2.
-1.211
4.
-1.065
5.
-1.016

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