Will a crewed Boeing Starliner spacecraft successfully dock with the International Space Station (ISS) before 1 September 2023?

Started May 26, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
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After a series of delays, Boeing's Starliner spacecraft has been scheduled for its first launch with a crew aboard for July 2023 (Space.com).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 September 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.28%
No 99.72%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 45
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 116
Average for questions older than 6 months: 578
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.041385
2.
-0.035432
3.
-0.034413
4.
-0.034217
5.
-0.033087

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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