How many total vehicles will Tesla produce in the third quarter of 2023?
Closed Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC
Tesla produced a record 479,700 vehicles in the second quarter of 2023, though a shrinking order backlog and factory upgrading may curb further ramping up in the near term (Tesla - Q2 2023 Press Release, Shacknews, Inside EVs). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2023 and the outcome determined using Tesla's "Production & Delivery" press release for the third quarter of 2023 (Tesla - Financial Information).
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The question closed "Between 400,000 and 440,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 October 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 400,000 | 4% | |
| Between 400,000 and 440,000, inclusive | 19% | |
| More than 440,000 but fewer than 480,000 | 46% | |
| Between 480,000 and 520,000, inclusive | 22% | |
| More than 520,000 but fewer than 560,000 | 5% | |
| 560,000 or more | 2% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 171 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 312 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
