How many total vehicles will Tesla produce in the third quarter of 2023?

Started Sep 11, 2023 09:00AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

Tesla produced a record 479,700 vehicles in the second quarter of 2023, though a shrinking order backlog and factory upgrading may curb further ramping up in the near term (Tesla - Q2 2023 Press Release, Shacknews, Inside EVs). The question will be suspended on 30 September 2023 and the outcome determined using Tesla's "Production & Delivery" press release for the third quarter of 2023 (Tesla - Financial Information).

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The question closed "Between 400,000 and 440,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 October 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 400,000 4%
Between 400,000 and 440,000, inclusive 19%
More than 440,000 but fewer than 480,000 46%
Between 480,000 and 520,000, inclusive 22%
More than 520,000 but fewer than 560,000 5%
560,000 or more 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 171
Average for questions older than 6 months: 201
Number of Forecasts 312
Average for questions older than 6 months: 573
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.247798
2.
-0.235911
3.
-0.235554
4.
-0.216037

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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