Will a crewed Boeing Starliner spacecraft successfully dock with the International Space Station (ISS) before 1 September 2024?

Started Sep 15, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 06, 2024 05:57PM UTC
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After years of delays, Boeing is pushing for its first launch with a crew aboard in 2024 (NASA Spaceflight, Boeing - Starliner Updates).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 6 June 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 78%
No 22%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 39
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 208
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.297023
2.
-0.295816
4.
-0.293401
5.
-0.270591

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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