Will a crewed Boeing Starliner spacecraft successfully dock with the International Space Station (ISS) before 1 September 2024?
Started
Sep 15, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 06, 2024 05:57PM UTC
Closed Jun 06, 2024 05:57PM UTC
Challenges
Tags
After years of delays, Boeing is pushing for its first launch with a crew aboard in 2024 (NASA Spaceflight, Boeing - Starliner Updates).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 6 June 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 78% | |
No | 22% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 39 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 208 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 545 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |