What will be the lowest reported Antarctic sea ice extent in 2024 as of 12 March 2024?
Closed Mar 12, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Antarctic sea ice extent, a measure of the ocean area in the southern hemisphere that's at least 15% sea ice, has been lower than the historic range in 2022 and 2023 (BBC). The question will be suspended on 11 March 2024 and the outcome determined using graph data as provided by the National Snow & Ice Data Center's (NSIDC's) "Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph" at approximately 5:00PM ET on 12 March 2024 (Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph, click "Antarctic" on the left side above the graph, About Charctic Data). Other site data would be immaterial. As of the launch of this question, the lowest daily reported antarctic sea ice extent in 2023 was 1.788 million sq. km on 21 February.
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The question closed "Between 1.7 million sq. km and 2.0 million sq. km, inclusive" with a closing date of 12 March 2024.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 1.7 million sq. km | 0% | |
Between 1.7 million sq. km and 2.0 million sq. km, inclusive | 99% | |
More than 2.0 million sq. km but less than 2.3 million sq. km | 1% | |
Between 2.3 million sq. km and 2.6 million sq. km, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 2.6 million sq. km but less than 2.9 million sq. km | 0% | |
Between 2.9 million sq. km and 3.2 million sq. km, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 3.2 million sq. km | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 54 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 367 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |