What will be the lowest reported Antarctic sea ice extent in 2024 as of 12 March 2024?

Started Sep 22, 2023 05:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 12, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Antarctic sea ice extent, a measure of the ocean area in the southern hemisphere that's at least 15% sea ice, has been lower than the historic range in 2022 and 2023 (BBC). The question will be suspended on 11 March 2024 and the outcome determined using graph data as provided by the National Snow & Ice Data Center's (NSIDC's) "Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph" at approximately 5:00PM ET on 12 March 2024 (Charctic Interactive Sea Ice Graph, click "Antarctic" on the left side above the graph, About Charctic Data). Other site data would be immaterial. As of the launch of this question, the lowest daily reported arctic sea ice extent in 2023 was 1.788 million sq. km on 21 February.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Less than 1.7 million sq. km 41.00% +0.00% +4.00% +1.06%
Between 1.7 million sq. km and 2.0 million sq. km, inclusive 33.00% +0.00% +0.00% -5.94%
More than 2.0 million sq. km but less than 2.3 million sq. km 13.00% +0.00% -2.00% +1.37%
Between 2.3 million sq. km and 2.6 million sq. km, inclusive 7.00% +0.00% +0.00% +1.75%
More than 2.6 million sq. km but less than 2.9 million sq. km 3.00% +0.00% -2.00% +0.69%
Between 2.9 million sq. km and 3.2 million sq. km, inclusive 2.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.81%
More than 3.2 million sq. km 1.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.25%

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