When will another round of in-person Korean family reunions take place?

Started Oct 18, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC

In October 2015, as they had done on several previous occasions, South and North Korea organized reunions involving relatives separated since the Korean war by the peninsula's partition (The Guardian, NY Times). Recommended Questions Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Myanmar before 1 January 2017?
No Korean family reunions took place. This question closed as "Not before 1 October 2017," with an end date of 1 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 January 2017 0%
Between 1 January 2017 and 31 March 2017, inclusive 0%
Between 1 April 2017 and 30 June 2017, inclusive 0%
Between 1 July 2017 and 30 September 2017, inclusive 0%
Not before 1 October 2017 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 211
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 1262
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.003331
2.
-0.003331
3.
-0.003329
4.
-0.003282
5.
-0.003281

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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