Will Lloyd Austin cease to be the US Secretary of Defense before 9 March 2024?
Started
Jan 09, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 09, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Closed Mar 09, 2024 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin is facing scrutiny and criticism for being hospitalized without informing members of the military or Biden administration (CNN, Politico, NBC News).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 9 March 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | |
| No | 95% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 179 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 529 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
