Will a first or second seed team in the 2024 NCAA Division I Women's Basketball Tournament lose in either the first or second round?

Started Feb 16, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 24, 2024 06:05PM UTC

Sixty-four (excluding the First Four games) women's college basketball teams, split into four groups of 16, will compete for the 2024 Women's Basketball Championship (NCAA - Women's NCAA Tournament Schedule). The teams playing and their seeds (i.e., their rankings within the group of 16) are scheduled to be announced on Selection Sunday on 17 March 2024 (ESPN). The question will be suspended on 24 March 2024 and the outcome determined once the first two rounds are completed, scheduled for 25 March 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 31%
No 69%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 33
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 147
Number of Forecasts 56
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 331
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.796
3.
-0.75
4.
-0.75
5.
-0.614

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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