UBS asks:

How many total vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in the second quarter of 2024?

Started Apr 03, 2024 02:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC

Tesla missed delivery expectations in the first quarter of 2024 (CNBC, Electrek). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using Tesla's Production & Delivery press release for Q2 2024, typically found under "Production & Delivery" (Tesla - Quarterly Results). Tesla's total vehicle deliveries in the first quarter of 2024 was 386,810 (Tesla - Production & Deliveries Q1 2024).

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The question closed "At least 430,000, but fewer than 470,000" with a closing date of 1 July 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 350,000 4%
At least 350,000, but fewer than 390,000 12%
At least 390,000, but fewer than 430,000 49%
At least 430,000, but fewer than 470,000 31%
At least 470,000, but fewer than 510,000 3%
510,000 or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 72
Average for questions older than 6 months: 190
Number of Forecasts 209
Average for questions older than 6 months: 548
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.270333
2.
-0.255128
3.
-0.25227
4.
-0.231813
5.
-0.20905

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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