UBS asks:
How many total vehicles will Tesla deliver to customers in the second quarter of 2024?
Closed Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
Tesla missed delivery expectations in the first quarter of 2024 (CNBC, Electrek). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2024 and the outcome determined using Tesla's Production & Delivery press release for Q2 2024, typically found under "Production & Delivery" (Tesla - Quarterly Results). Tesla's total vehicle deliveries in the first quarter of 2024 was 386,810 (Tesla - Production & Deliveries Q1 2024).
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The question closed "At least 430,000, but fewer than 470,000" with a closing date of 1 July 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 350,000 | 4% | |
| At least 350,000, but fewer than 390,000 | 12% | |
| At least 390,000, but fewer than 430,000 | 49% | |
| At least 430,000, but fewer than 470,000 | 31% | |
| At least 470,000, but fewer than 510,000 | 3% | |
| 510,000 or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 72 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 171 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 209 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 444 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
