Which organization's large language model (LLM) will be ranked first as of 15 November 2024, according to the Large Model Systems Organization (LMSYS Org)?

Started May 10, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 15, 2024 08:01AM UTC

Technology companies and organizations are racing to develop the best performing chatbots (The Verge). The question will be suspended on 14 November 2024 and the outcome determined using the ranks as reported by LMSYS Org at approximately 5:00PM ET on 15 November 2024 (LMSYS, see "Rank* (UB)"). As of 8 May 2024, OpenAI was ranked first with its "GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09" model with an Arena Elo of 1258. For more information on how the leaderboard is constructed, see (LMSYS Blog). In the event of a tie for first place by LLMs of different organizations, the LLM with the higher Arena Elo score will be considered first, followed by the "Votes" total.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Anthropic 10.00% +1.00% +0.40%
Google 18.00% -1.00% -2.20%
Meta 7.00% +1.00% +1.73%
OpenAI 60.00% -1.00% -0.80%
Another organization 5.00% 0% +0.87%

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