Started Nov 22, 2016 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC

  The Economist asks

Will Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump host the other for an official bilateral visit before 1 October 2017?

Clarification issued 12/12/2016: The question was updated to ask about an official bilateral visit. Joint attendance at multilateral meetings will not count. President-elect Trump has repeatedly praised Vladimir Putin (The World in 2017, Time, CBS News). President Obama's 2009 visit to Moscow is an example of an official bilateral visit (NY Times). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


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Neither Trump, nor Putin hosted the other for an official state visit. This question closed as "No," with and end date of 1 October 2017." See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.


Question clarification
Issued on 01/20/17 03:13pm
Clarification issued 12/12/2016: The question was updated to ask about an official bilateral visit.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.00%
No 98.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1804
Average for questions older than 6 months: 249
Number of Forecasts 4304
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.058
2.
-1.058
3.
-1.055
4.
-1.055
5.
-1.051

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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