Started Nov 22, 2016 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC

  The Economist asks

Will Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump host the other for an official bilateral visit before 1 October 2017?

Tags
Challenges

Clarification issued 12/12/2016: The question was updated to ask about an official bilateral visit. Joint attendance at multilateral meetings will not count. President-elect Trump has repeatedly praised Vladimir Putin (The World in 2017, Time, CBS News). President Obama's 2009 visit to Moscow is an example of an official bilateral visit (NY Times). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


If you liked this question, you might also enjoy participating in this opinion poll on the recent US elections.
Neither Trump, nor Putin hosted the other for an official state visit. This question closed as "No," with and end date of 1 October 2017." See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Final Crowd Forecast

2%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

1804

Forecast
Count

4304

Crowd Brier Score

0.6126


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.058
2.
-1.058
3.
-1.055
4.
-1.055
5.
-1.051

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username