The Economist asks

Will Canada legalise recreational marijuana nationally before 1 October 2017?

Started Nov 22, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has promised to legalise recreational marijuana (The World in 2017, Vox). The health minister has indicated that a bill will be introduced in the spring of 2017. For more information on Canada's legislative process see Queen's University Library. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
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Canada has not legalized recreational marijuana. This question closed as "No," with and end date 1 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Question clarification
Issued on 03/30/17 02:09pm
Enactment of a law that legalizes marijuana will suffice for a "yes" resolution regardless of the timing of implementation.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 5.00%
No 95.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1277
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 2891
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.786
2.
-0.783
4.
-0.783
5.
-0.783

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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