The Economist asks

Will Alibaba's market capitalisation exceed Tencent's at any point between 23 November 2016 and 1 June 2017?

Started Nov 22, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 28, 2016 06:00PM UTC
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This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 28 November 2016. Alibaba’s market capitalisation exceeded Tencent’s on 28 November. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Alibaba, an e-commerce goliath, and Tencent, a gaming company best known for its messaging and payments app WeChat, are two of the most valuable technology companies in China (CNBC, The World in 2017). Bloomberg provides a daily snapshot of market-capitalisation figures in the list of financial indicators below their price graphs: Bloomberg: Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd, Bloomberg: Tencent Holdings Ltd. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether annual sales of electric vehicles in China will reach 500,000 in 2016, or whether an Uber self driving car will be involved in an accident before the end of the year.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 80.00%
No 20.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 172
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 213
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.112
2.
-0.112
3.
-0.112
4.
-0.107
5.
-0.107

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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