What will happen next with regard to the price of bitcoin?

Started Aug 09, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 22, 2025 12:00AM UTC
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The question will be suspended on 7 August 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using Coinbase price data as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) database (FRED). The value reported by FRED will be considered the "closing" value for that date.

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The question closed "It will "close" above $120,000 between 7 February 2025 and 8 August 2025" with a closing date of 21 July 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
It will "close" below $30,000 before 7 February 2025 0%
It will "close" above $120,000 before 7 February 2025 0%
It will "close" below $30,000 between 7 February 2025 and 8 August 2025 0%
It will "close" above $120,000 between 7 February 2025 and 8 August 2025 80%
None of these will occur before 9 August 2025 20%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 57
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 785
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.84383
2.
-0.722068
3.
-0.714434
4.
-0.610238
5.
-0.589455

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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