What will Prime Minister Keir Starmer's approval rating be as of 7 February 2025, according to Politico?
Closed Feb 07, 2025 08:01AM UTC
After leading the Labour Party to a dominant electoral win in July 2024, Prime Minister Starmer became the first non-Conservative Party PM in 14 years (AP). The question will be suspended on 6 February 2025 and the outcome determined using data as provided in Politico's "Poll of Polls" page for the UK no earlier than approximately 5:00PM ET on 14 February 2025 (Politico, use default "Smooth" view).
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The question closed "At least 36.0%, but less than 40.0%" with a closing date of 7 February 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 32.0% | 95% | |
| At least 32.0%, but less than 36.0% | 4% | |
| At least 36.0%, but less than 40.0% | 1% | |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 44.0% | 0% | |
| At least 44.0%, but less than 48.0% | 0% | |
| At least 48.0%, but less than 52.0% | 0% | |
| At least 52.0%, but less than 56.0% | 0% | |
| At least 56.0%, but less than 60.0% | 0% | |
| At least 60.0%, but less than 64.0% | 0% | |
| 64.0% or higher | 0% | |
| Kier Starmer will cease to be the prime minister off the UK before 8 February 2025 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 55 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 173 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 371 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 509 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
