Will the Boeing Starliner spacecraft in orbit as of 29 August 2024 attempt a re-entry and landing on Earth before 19 October 2024?
Closed Sep 06, 2024 04:01PM UTC
On 24 August 2024, NASA announced that it would not attempt to return US astronauts Suni Williams and Butch Wilmore to Earth using the Boeing Starliner spacecraft then docked at the International Space Station, and the spacecraft is expected to attempt a "safe, controlled autonomous re-entry and landing" in early September 2024 (NASA, AP). The spacecraft will be deemed to have safely returned to Earth upon touching down on Earth as designed and intact.
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The question closed "Yes, and it will safely return" with a closing date of 6 September 2024.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and it will safely return | 61% | |
| Yes, but it will not safely return | 23% | |
| No | 16% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 34 |
| Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 97 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 58 |
| Average for questions in their first 4 weeks: 171 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
