Will Joe Biden announce that he is running for President of the United States before Thanksgiving?

Started Sep 14, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 26, 2015 04:59AM UTC
Tags

There is wide speculation about whether Vice President Biden will seek the Democratic nomination (http://www.cnn.com/2015/09/02/politics/biden-florida-president-campaign/ , http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/03/is-joe-biden-running-for-president/387115/ ). Please note that Thanksgiving in the United States will be celebrated on November 26, 2015.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 642
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1534
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.16
2.
-0.158
4.
-0.153
5.
-0.153

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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