What will happen next with respect to Spirit Airlines?

Started Nov 01, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 18, 2024 09:30AM UTC
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Many had expected Spirit Airlines to file for bankruptcy soon after a court blocked its merger with JetBlue, though the airline has continued on with negotiations with its creditors and reportedly revived merger talks with Frontier Airlines (Investopedia, Fast Company, US News & World Report).

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The question closed "Spirit Airlines will file for bankruptcy in the US" with a closing date of 18 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Spirit Airlines will file for bankruptcy in the US 58%
Spirit Airlines will announce an agreement that it will either merge with or be acquired by another firm 30%
Neither will occur before 15 April 2025 12%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 26
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 133
Number of Forecasts 51
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 305
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.627353
2.
-0.506953
3.
-0.424894
4.
-0.399388
5.
-0.321953

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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