The Economist asks:
What will be the closing market capitalization for NVIDIA Corp on 30 September 2025?
Started
Nov 20, 2024 11:00AM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Sep 30, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Tags
NVIDIA has grown to dominate the semiconductor industry as the race for AI continues (Economist, Elektor Magazine, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 29 September 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC, see "Market Cap").
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The question closed "At least $4.5 trillion, but less than $5.0 trillion" with a closing date of 30 September 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $2.5 trillion | 2% | |
| At least $2.5 trillion, but less than $3.0 trillion | 4% | |
| At least $3.0 trillion, but less than $3.5 trillion | 7% | |
| At least $3.5 trillion, but less than $4.0 trillion | 11% | |
| At least $4.0 trillion, but less than $4.5 trillion | 58% | |
| At least $4.5 trillion, but less than $5.0 trillion | 15% | |
| At least $5.0 trillion, but less than $6.0 trillion | 2% | |
| At least $6.0 trillion, but less than $7.0 trillion | 1% | |
| $7.0 trillion or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 355 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1787 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
