Before 1 January 2018, will the European Council announce the opening of formal membership negotiations with any candidate countries or designate any new country as an official candidate for membership?

Started Jan 17, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Albania and Macedonia are both candidate countries for EU membership, but neither has begun the formal membership negotiations that must conclude in order for the country to join; Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo have been told that they can become candidate countries when they are ready (European Commission). For more information on the accession process see: European Commission. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The European Council did not announce the opening of formal membership negotiations with any candidate countries or designate any new country as an official candidate for membership. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 249
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 886
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.008953
2.
-0.008595
3.
-0.008438
4.
-0.008309
5.
-0.008251

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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