The Economist asks:

What will be the closing market capitalization of Boeing on 1 August 2025?

Started Nov 29, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Aircraft manufacturer Boeing has weathered a number of challenges, including product problems and a major labor strike (Economist, KIRO7, MSN [ViewusGlobal]). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CNBC (Google Finance, see "MARKET CAP").

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The question closed "At least $165 billion, but less than $180 billion" with a closing date of 1 August 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $60 billion 0%
At least $60 billion, but less than $75 billion 1%
At least $75 billion, but less than $90 billion 2%
At least $90 billion, but less than $105 billion 5%
At least $105 billion, but less than $120 billion 8%
At least $120 billion, but less than $135 billion 10%
At least $135 billion, but less than $150 billion 11%
At least $150 billion, but less than $165 billion 13%
At least $165 billion, but less than $180 billion 41%
At least $180 billion, but less than $195 billion 7%
At least $195 billion, but less than $210 billion 1%
$210 billion or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 220
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 1045
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.43316
2.
-0.397241
3.
-0.377592
4.
-0.354526
5.
-0.348885

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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