The Economist asks:
What will be the closing market capitalization of Boeing on 1 August 2025?
Started
Nov 29, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Tags
Aircraft manufacturer Boeing has weathered a number of challenges, including product problems and a major labor strike (Economist, KIRO7, MSN [ViewusGlobal]). The question will be suspended on 31 July 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CNBC (Google Finance, see "MARKET CAP").
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "At least $165 billion, but less than $180 billion" with a closing date of 1 August 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $60 billion | 0% | |
| At least $60 billion, but less than $75 billion | 1% | |
| At least $75 billion, but less than $90 billion | 2% | |
| At least $90 billion, but less than $105 billion | 5% | |
| At least $105 billion, but less than $120 billion | 8% | |
| At least $120 billion, but less than $135 billion | 10% | |
| At least $135 billion, but less than $150 billion | 11% | |
| At least $150 billion, but less than $165 billion | 13% | |
| At least $165 billion, but less than $180 billion | 41% | |
| At least $180 billion, but less than $195 billion | 7% | |
| At least $195 billion, but less than $210 billion | 1% | |
| $210 billion or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 220 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1045 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |