Will Leopoldo Lopez be released from prison before 1 July 2017?
Started
Jan 24, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC
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Leopoldo Lopez, a member of Venezuela's opposition, has been imprisoned since 2014 (Foreign Policy, UK Telegraph). The release of Lopez and other political prisoners is one of the issues being discussed in the Vatican-sponsored negotiations between President Maduro and the opposition (The Economist, United Press International, Latin America Herald Tribune).
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If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Geert Wilders will become prime minister of the Netherlands after the March 2017 elections? or on whether a date will be set for early general elections in the United Kingdom before 1 July 2017.
There is no evidence that Leopoldo Lopez was released from prison. This question closed as "b) No" with and end date of 30 June 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Geert Wilders will become prime minister of the Netherlands after the March 2017 elections? or on whether a date will be set for early general elections in the United Kingdom before 1 July 2017.
There is no evidence that Leopoldo Lopez was released from prison. This question closed as "b) No" with and end date of 30 June 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 121 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 514 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |