Which organization's large language model (LLM) will be ranked first as of 14 November 2025, according to Chatbot Arena (formerly LMSYS Org)?
Closed Nov 14, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Technology companies and organizations are racing to develop the best performing chatbots (Axios, The Verge). The question will be suspended on 13 November 2025 and the outcome determined using the ranks as reported by LMSYS Org at approximately 5:00PM ET on 14 November 2025 (Chatbot Arena, see "Rank* (UB)"). As of 5 December 2024, OpenAI was ranked first with its "ChatGPT-4o-latest (2024-11-20)" model with an Arena Score of 1366. In the event of a tie for first place by LLMs of different organizations, the LLM with the higher Arena Score will be considered first, followed by the "Votes" total.
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NOTE 27 May 2025: The source has changed the layout of its site. The "Text Arena" leaderboard will be used for resolution (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text).
The question closed "Google" with a closing date of 14 November 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 3% | |
| 93% | ||
| Meta | 1% | |
| OpenAI | 3% | |
| xAI | 0% | |
| Another organization | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 67 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 340 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |