How many successful Starship launches will SpaceX perform in 2025?
Started
Jan 10, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
SpaceX is expected to ramp up Starship launches in 2025 (Space.com, Space Explored, SpaceX - Starship). A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (YouTube).
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The question closed "Between 5 and 9" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 4 or fewer | 10% | |
| Between 5 and 9 | 89% | |
| Between 10 and 14 | 1% | |
| Between 15 and 19 | 0% | |
| Between 20 and 24 | 0% | |
| 25 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 27 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 156 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 164 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 464 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
