Will Tesla deliver 500,000 or more vehicles in the first quarter of 2025?
Closed Apr 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Tesla suffered its first-ever drop in annual deliveries in 2024 (CNBC). The question will be suspended on 31 March 2025 and the outcome determined using Tesla's Production & Delivery press release for Q1 2025, typically found under "Production & Delivery" (Tesla - Quarterly Results). Tesla's total vehicle deliveries in the first quarter of 2024 was 386,810 (Tesla - Production & Deliveries Q1 2024).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 April 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | |
| No | 99% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 65 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 226 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |