How many successful New Glenn launches will Blue Origin perform in 2025?
Started
Jan 24, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
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After the first flight test of its New Glenn rocket on 16 January 2025 successfully reached orbit, Blue Origin is expected to attempt as many as 10 or 12 launches in 2025 (AP, AmericanSpace, CNBC). A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (Blue Origin - New Glenn).
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The question closed "3 or fewer" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 3 or fewer | 98% | |
| Between 4 and 6 | 1% | |
| Between 7 and 9 | 1% | |
| Between 10 and 12 | 0% | |
| 13 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 26 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 123 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
