What will be Quantinuum's end-of-day market capitalization on its first day of public trading?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Quantum computing company Quantinuum, which is majority-owned by Honeywell, may go public in 2025 (MSN [Bloomberg], Quantum Insider, Access IPOs, Medium). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day market capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg. Whether Quantinuum goes public via an IPO, direct listing, or a merger with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) will be immaterial (Investopedia - IPO v Direct Listing, Investopedia - SPAC).
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The question closed "Quantinuum will not trade publicly before 1 January 2026" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than $10 billion | 14% | |
| At least $10 billion, but less than $15 billion | 11% | |
| At least $15 billion, but less than $20 billion | 36% | |
| At least $20 billion, but less than $25 billion | 3% | |
| At least $25 billion, but less than $30 billion | 1% | |
| $30 billion or more | 1% | |
| Quantinuum will not trade publicly before 1 January 2026 | 34% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 16 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 156 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 53 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 464 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
