The Economist asks:
Will Keir Starmer cease to be the prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 October 2025?
Started
Feb 14, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Despite leading his Labour Party to a sweeping victory in the 2024 parliamentary elections, Starmer's popularity had cratered by the beginning of 2025 (Economist, MSN [GB News]).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | |
| No | 97% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 276 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 700 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
