The Economist asks:
Will François Bayrou cease to be the prime minister of France before 1 October 2025?
Started
Feb 14, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 09, 2025 05:55PM UTC
Closed Sep 09, 2025 05:55PM UTC
After early elections led to a sharply divided National Assembly in 2024, the current French government is struggling to survive (Economist, MSN [AFP], France 24).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 9 September 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 89% | |
| No | 11% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 157 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 887 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
