Started Sep 21, 2015 08:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 19, 2015 03:59AM UTC

Which party will the next Canadian Prime Minister come from?

Tags

Opinion polls show the Conservatives, NDP, and Liberals in a tight race as election day draws near (http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/pei-federal-election-poll-1.3228714 , http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/02/canada-election-leaders-factbox-idUSKCN0Q70OG20150802 ). The elections are scheduled for 19 October 2015.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Conservative 41%
Liberal 57%
New Democratic Party 2%
Other 0%

No. of
Forecasters

147

Forecast
Count

457

Crowd Brier Score

0.6278


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.558
2.
-0.544
3.
-0.389
4.
-0.362
5.
-0.31

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