Will ride-sharing firm Lyft announce an agreement that it will either merge with or be acquired by another firm before 1 January 2026?

Started Apr 04, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
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Shares of Lyft rose in early 2025 amid speculation that it could be an acquisition target (Yahoo [GuruFocus], NASDAQ). Whether the agreement is ultimately executed is immaterial. Acquisition by a wholly owned subsidiary of Amazon will count as an agreement with Amazon. The whole of Lyft must be merged or acquired to count, and Lyft merging with a smaller company will not count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, an agreement with Amazon 9%
Yes, an agreement with a firm other than Amazon 6%
No 85%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 14
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 79
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.102676
2.
-0.057806
3.
-0.046095
4.
-0.018507
5.
-0.003775

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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