Will there be four or more major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2025 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?
Closed Oct 26, 2025 04:00AM UTC
Researchers at Colorado State University have predicted that the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from 1 June 2025 to 30 November 2025, "will have above-normal activity" (CBS News, Colorado State University - 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast). The question will be suspended on 30 November 2025 and the outcome determined using categorizations provided by the National Hurricane Center no later than 16 December 2025 (National Hurricane Center, National Hurricane Center - Reports). In 2024, there were 5 major hurricanes.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 25 October 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 89% | |
| No | 11% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 29 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 225 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
