Outbreaks of measles in the US have raised concerns among public health officials (AP, CNN). The question will be suspended on 24 December 2025 if still open and the outcome determined using data as provided by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) when first available through 25 December 2025 (CDC, see "Map of measles cases in 2024 & 2025" and links under the map graphic for download options; also note that New York City cases are also reported). The CDC reported that 32 states had at least one case of measles in 2024. For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

The question closed "Between 43 and 48" with a closing date of 25 December 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.