Which organization's large language model (LLM) will be ranked first as of 22 May 2026, according to Chatbot Arena (formerly LMSYS Org)?
Closing May 22, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Technology companies and organizations are racing to develop the best performing chatbots (Pymnts, Tech Crunch, Guru Focus). The question will be suspended on 21 May 2026 and the outcome determined using the ranks as reported by Chatbot Arena at approximately 5:00PM ET on 22 May 2026 (Chatbot Arena, see "Rank* (UB)"). As of 21 May 2025, Google was ranked first with its "Gemini-2.5-Pro-Preview-05-06" model with an Arena Score of 1446. In the event of a tie for first place by LLMs of different organizations, the LLM with the higher Arena Score will be considered first, followed by the "Votes" total.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
NOTE 27 May 2025: The source has changed the layout of its site. The "Text Arena" leaderboard will be used for resolution (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text).
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 3.00% | -0.08% | 0% | -1.50% |
| 43.42% | -0.16% | +4.42% | +7.42% | |
| OpenAI | 26.67% | 0% | +4.67% | -6.43% |
| xAI | 7.50% | +0.58% | +0.50% | +3.80% |
| A Chinese organization (e.g., DeepSeek, Tencent, Alibaba) | 8.83% | -0.17% | +0.83% | -0.47% |
| Another organization | 10.58% | -0.17% | -10.42% | -2.82% |