What will the US president's approval rating be as of 20 January 2026, according to Nate Silver's aggregation?
Started
Jun 20, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 20, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 20, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Tags
The question will be suspended on 19 January 2026 and the outcome determined using "Approval/Disapproval" chart data provided by Nate Silver (Silver Bulletin). The data for 20 January 2026 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 23 January 2026.
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The question closed "At least 42.0%, but less than 44.0%" with a closing date of 20 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 34.0% | 1% | |
| At least 34.0%, but less than 36.0% | 7% | |
| At least 36.0%, but less than 38.0% | 7% | |
| At least 38.0%, but less than 40.0% | 4% | |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 42.0% | 32% | |
| At least 42.0%, but less than 44.0% | 47% | |
| At least 44.0%, but less than 46.0% | 2% | |
| At least 46.0%, but less than 48.0% | 0% | |
| At least 48.0%, but less than 50.0% | 0% | |
| At least 50.0%, but less than 52.0% | 0% | |
| 52.0% or higher | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 55 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 436 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
