What will the US president's approval rating be as of 20 January 2026, according to Nate Silver's aggregation?
Started
Jun 20, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 20, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 20, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Tags
The question will be suspended on 19 January 2026 and the outcome determined using "Approval/Disapproval" chart data provided by Nate Silver (Silver Bulletin). The data for 20 January 2026 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 23 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lower than 34.0% | 0.30% | 0% | +0.30% |
| At least 34.0%, but less than 36.0% | 0.50% | 0% | +0.10% |
| At least 36.0%, but less than 38.0% | 7.10% | -0.10% | -0.30% |
| At least 38.0%, but less than 40.0% | 15.90% | -1.40% | -13.00% |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 42.0% | 28.40% | +1.20% | +3.50% |
| At least 42.0%, but less than 44.0% | 22.90% | +0.60% | +5.80% |
| At least 44.0%, but less than 46.0% | 16.30% | -0.30% | +1.10% |
| At least 46.0%, but less than 48.0% | 6.00% | +0.10% | +1.40% |
| At least 48.0%, but less than 50.0% | 1.80% | -0.10% | +0.60% |
| At least 50.0%, but less than 52.0% | 0.50% | 0% | +0.30% |
| 52.0% or higher | 0.30% | 0% | +0.20% |