What will be the closing market capitalization of Berkshire Hathaway on 31 December 2025?

Started Jun 27, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2025 08:01AM UTC
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Warren Buffett announced that he would retire as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway at the end of 2025 after more than half a century as one of the most successful investors in modern history (AP, Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC, see "Market Cap").

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The question closed "At least $1.04 trillion, but less than $1.10 trillion" with a closing date of 31 December 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $770 billion 1%
At least $770 billion, but less than $860 billion 1%
At least $860 billion, but less than $920 billion 1%
At least $920 billion, but less than $980 billion 1%
At least $980 billion, but less than $1.04 trillion 12%
At least $1.04 trillion, but less than $1.10 trillion 70%
At least $1.10 trillion, but less than $1.16 trillion 11%
At least $1.16 trillion, but less than $1.22 trillion 2%
At least $1.22 trillion, but less than $1.28 trillion 1%
At least $1.28 trillion, but less than $1.37 trillion 1%
$1.37 trillion or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 10
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.035954
2.
-0.020156
3.
-0.014075
4.
-0.005282
5.
-0.004212

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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