Will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship rocket before 1 January 2026?

Started Jun 27, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
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SpaceX is expected to eventually attempt to "catch" the Starship vessel itself, but failures in the first half of 2025 have marred the company's push to make flights more routine (Space.com, WCCF Tech). A catch will be considered successful upon the ship being "caught" as intended after a space flight reaching an altitude of at least 100 km (Britannica - Karman Line, X - Elon Musk). A capture of the booster will not count.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 9.00% 0% -1.57% -1.86%
No 91.00% 0% +1.57% +1.86%

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