Will Kash Patel cease to be the director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation before 20 January 2026?

Started Jul 15, 2025 06:30PM UTC
Closed Jan 20, 2026 08:01AM UTC

Kash Patel's handling of the Jeffrey Epstein case files has come under scrutiny (Newsweek, Foxnews).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 20 January 2026.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 7%
No 93%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 62
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 227
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.062695
3.
-0.062271
4.
-0.06206
5.
-0.060472

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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