The University Forecasting Challenge asks:

What will be the closing share price for Chipotle Mexican Grill on 12 December 2025?

Started Aug 25, 2025 01:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 12, 2025 08:01AM UTC

In July 2025, Chipotle reported a decline in same-store sales for the second consecutive quarter as CEO Scott Boatwright has said the company needs to accelerate innovation (CNBC, Yahoo). The question will be suspended on 11 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC). In the event that Chipotle stock splits before 13 December 2025, the price value for use in resolution will be adjusted accordingly (Investopedia - Stock Split).

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The question closed "At least $35.00, but less than $38.00" with a closing date of 12 December 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $32.00 5%
At least $32.00, but less than $35.00 69%
At least $35.00, but less than $38.00 24%
At least $38.00, but less than $41.00 1%
At least $41.00, but less than $44.00 1%
At least $44.00, but less than $47.00 0%
At least $47.00, but less than $50.00 0%
At least $50.00, but less than $53.00 0%
At least $53.00, but less than $56.00 0%
At least $56.00, but less than $59.00 0%
$59.00 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 55
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 134
Number of Forecasts 282
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 361
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.238011
2.
-0.162516
3.
-0.150671
4.
-0.136408
5.
-0.114329

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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