Before 1 January 2018, will the United Kingdom and the European Union reach an agreement on payment of the UK's outstanding liabilities to the EU?
Started
Apr 07, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 08, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 08, 2017 06:00PM UTC
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Media reports indicate the EU intends to demand the UK to pay a “hefty” bill to cover various commitments the UK made as a member of the EU (The Telegraph, The Independent, The Guardian) . The question will close when an agreement is reached (e.g., an agreement on a formula to calculate outstanding liabilities (Reuters), the disbursement of payment is not required for a "yes" resolution.
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An agreement on payment of liabilities has been reached (European Council, European Council). This question closed as "Yes" with an end date of 8 December. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
An agreement on payment of liabilities has been reached (European Council, European Council). This question closed as "Yes" with an end date of 8 December. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Question clarification
Issued on 07/11/17 03:50pm
Agreements that only cover part of the UK's outstanding liabilities will not be sufficient to resolve the question.
Agreements that only cover part of the UK's outstanding liabilities will not be sufficient to resolve the question.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 7.00% | |
No | 93.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 428 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1807 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |