Closing Aug 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC

The CFA Society Los Angeles asks

What will be the official U.S. civilian unemployment rate for the month of July 2017?

Outcome will be determined by the official civilian unemployment rate (U3) reported for the month of July 2017, published by the Department of Labor on 4 August 2017 (Bureau of Labor Statistics). For more information on U3, see: Investopedia.

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Name Probability
Less than 4.0% 1%
Between 4.0 and 4.5%, inclusive 65%
More than 4.5% but less than 5.0% 34%
5.0% or more 0%

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