Will Keir Starmer cease to be the prime minister of the United Kingdom before 17 January 2026?

Started Oct 10, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 17, 2026 08:01AM UTC

With Starmer's approval rating the lowest on record for a prime minister, there is speculation that the Labour Party could seek a leadership change (NBC News, ABC [Australia], ABC News).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Yes 11.58% -1.42% -2.96% -0.77%
No 88.42% +1.42% +2.96% +0.77%

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