Which football team will "earn" the first overall NFL draft pick for 2026?

Started Oct 17, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 04, 2026 08:01AM UTC

In the NFL, the order in which teams make draft picks after the season is over is dependent on how teams performed in the previous season, with the worst performer "earning" the first pick (NFL - Rules of the Draft). The question will be suspended on 3 January 2026 if still open and the outcome determined using open-source reporting. Whether the team that "earns" the first overall draft pick ultimately trades that pick to another team is immaterial.

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The question closed "Las Vegas Raiders" with a closing date of 4 January 2026.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Arizona Cardinals 0%
Cincinnati Bengals 0%
Cleveland Browns 0%
Las Vegas Raiders 83%
Miami Dolphins 0%
New Orleans Saints 0%
New York Giants 11%
New York Jets 2%
Tennessee Titans 4%
Another team 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 24
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 134
Number of Forecasts 153
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 361
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.322822
2.
-0.317913
3.
-0.251166
4.
-0.235865
5.
-0.148384

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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