Question 5 of 7 in State of the Union — See all questions
Closing Aug 02, 2017 06:59AM UTC

  The Monkey Cage asks

What will Gallup report President Trump's approval rating to be on 1 August 2017?

Outcome will be determined by the "Gallup Daily" Trump job approval rating (Gallup). Question will be suspended on 1 August 2017 and closed when the data are released the following day.

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Name Probability
Less than 30% 6%
Between 30% and 40%, inclusive 74%
More than 40% but less than 50% 20%
Between 50% and 60%, inclusive 0%
More than 60% 0%

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