Who will win the 2026 Grammy for Best New Artist?
Started
Nov 08, 2025 03:15PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Tags
The 2026 Grammy Awards are scheduled for 1 February 2026 (Grammy.com, Billboard). In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner (Grammy.com - Voting Process).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Dean | 37.60% | +0.50% | +13.20% | +18.80% |
| KATSEYE | 3.60% | +0.10% | -1.30% | -1.00% |
| The Marias | 8.70% | -0.10% | -1.30% | 0% |
| Addison Rae | 5.90% | 0% | -1.80% | +1.00% |
| Sombr | 6.20% | -0.10% | -1.40% | -1.60% |
| Leon Thomas | 12.00% | -0.50% | +1.60% | -0.10% |
| Alex Warren | 3.10% | 0% | -0.60% | -0.60% |
| Lola Young | 22.90% | +0.10% | -8.40% | -16.50% |