Who will win the 2026 Grammy for Best New Artist?

Started Nov 08, 2025 03:15PM UTC
Closing Feb 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

The 2026 Grammy Awards are scheduled for 1 February 2026 (Grammy.com, Billboard). In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner (Grammy.com - Voting Process).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Olivia Dean 18.80% +0.30% +0.30%
KATSEYE 4.60% +0.30% +0.30%
The Marias 8.70% 0% 0%
Addison Rae 4.90% +0.10% +0.10%
Sombr 7.80% +0.10% +0.10%
Leon Thomas 12.10% -1.00% -1.00%
Alex Warren 3.70% -0.10% -0.10%
Lola Young 39.40% +0.30% +0.30%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username