Who will win the 2026 Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture?

Started Dec 08, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 11, 2026 08:01AM UTC

The Golden Globes are scheduled for 11 January 2026 (Golden Globes). In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner.

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The question closed "Stellan Skarsgaard, "Sentimental Value"" with a closing date of 11 January 2026.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Benicio del Toro, "One Battle After Another" 16%
Jacob Ellordi, "Frankenstein" 10%
Paul Mescal, "Hamnet" 5%
Sean Penn, "One Battle After Another" 36%
Adam Sandler, "Jay Kelly" 7%
Stellan Skarsgaard, "Sentimental Value" 26%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 11
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 108
Number of Forecasts 21
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 251
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.987503
2.
-0.516238
3.
-0.172288
4.
-0.117391
5.
-0.022235

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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