Will the Taliban take Lashkar Gah before 1 April 2018?

Started May 16, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2018 05:00PM UTC

Afghanistan's war against the Taliban insurgency rages on as government forces fight to retain control of Lashkar Gah, the provincial capital of the strategically important Helmand province (Aljazeera, Foreign Policy, Radio Free Europe). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 March 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 204
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1102
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.040344
2.
-0.040093
4.
-0.039061
5.
-0.038902

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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